With all the kerfuffle about skewed and politcally biased polls, perhaps the best place to get a representative view of the likely outcome in Kemptown...is the bookies...the people who have a financial interest in getting it right!
Paddy Power odds remain unchanged for Brighton Kemptown election results:
Conservative = 1/8
Labour = 4/1
LibDem = 66/1
Green = 66/1
According to the Electoral Calculus website (posh name for a website probably run by a second year politics student at Lancaster University with a Casio MS-8TV calculator) the odds according to the polls are:
Conservative = 2/1
Labour = 3/1
LibDem = 8/1
Other =166/1
So, as far as I understand gambling, the LibDems represent good value if you fancy a bet...not that I'm saying they're going to win, they're just undervalued by a factor of eight by the bookies.
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